Hat tip.

The website’s personal favorites from 2011 are here.

Then, somehow, the paper goes on for twenty more pages.

[Newt's] argument about knowledge vs. TelePrompter is not some deeply coded appeal to his audiences’ suspicions of black people. It is instead a more explicit appeal to a commonly felt belief that the President would be left speechless in the face of the arguments of true conservatives. The silliness about food stamps and paychecks . . . runs along a similar logic. My sense is that Newt and his ideological confreres do not presume that African-Americans and the indigent are dependent on the government out of congenital shiftlessness, but because they have never been exposed to arguments in favor of working for a living (or else why would they still be unemployed and/or Democrats).

Chris’s argument that Newt isn’t a race-baiter rests on a suppressed methodological premise*: that if rhetoric could arise from one coherent view of the world — in Newt’s case, his commitment to the poverty and perniciousness of liberalism — then it probably arises only from that view. This premise is “supernaturally generous.” The overall worldviews of conservative ideologues (also liberal ideologues) are not theoretically elegant; they are a mess. Ideological commitments are supported by a hodgepodge of arguments, each so wholly disconnected from the other that it would be too convenient for them all to work. (See here for a critique along these lines of libertarianism’s willingness to draw from both consequentialism and nonconsequentialism for support.) What’s more, the arguments themselves sometimes become ideological commitments (if they weren’t already infected with ideology to begin with), and it turns out to be impossible to get a read on what is supposed to be support for the worldview, what is part of the worldview (and which part of the worldview it is). Instead, one gets a single, undifferentiated mass of (in conservatism’s case, almost entirely malodorous) sentiment.

There is thus every reason to think that Newt’s rhetoric appeals to a multiplicity of conservative attitudes — including both the comparatively innocent ones Chris identifies, but also those that are more foul. A quick glance at Free Republic — instructive, because it is conservatism’s (albeit non-beltway conservatism) Id — bears this out. I looked at posts mentioning “welfare queen” and “food stamp president.” I included “welfare queen” on the assumption that it is similar to “food stamp president;” arguably a dog-whistle, arguably a point about the perniciousness of liberal ideas. I did not look into the “knowledge versus teleprompter” because it was harder to search, and also, clearly, Chris has a better case that that is less likely to engage racist sentiments.

Welfare queen

The “welfare queen” post — about a woman who has had fifteen children and takes government subsidies — is actually better for Chris than the “food stamp president” post (about which more later). Some of the comments could be read to embrace the view that welfare queens are only welfare queens because “they have never been exposed to arguments in favor of working for a living.”

So, in response to TSgt’s suggestion that the solution to the problem of welfare queens is to sterilize them,** commenter driftdiver writes “Forced sterilization is not the answer. Ending the welfare culture is. Sure some people need help for short times. Career lazy people can learn to work or starve.” It could be then that, for driftdiver, poverty is a function of the indolent’s having never been exposed to conservative principles. Commenter RexBeach, whose style is humorously redolent of Jesse Jackson’s, writes in a similar vein (though note the tinge of racism): “Black folk have been voting for Democrats for 50 years…and the black people are still poor. When are they gonna wake up and smell the opportunities, instead of the gratuities?”

But other comments — notably Lancey Howard’s picture of a seething mass of black people, conjoined with his reference to “Obama’s stash,” and Responsibility2nd’s response: “Heh. I was looking for that picture last Friday. Black Friday. When the reports started coming in from the hood about Black Friday “festivities”" — suggest that “welfare queen” does, indeed, have racist connotations, and so rhetoric invoking it operates on racial sentiment. [As an aside: I think "Responsibility2nd" is a truly inspired handle, and whoever's behind it could well be a deep troll seeking to undermine gun rights.]

Food stamp president

Conservatives have this same mishmash of attitude toward the “food stamp president.” It evokes simple anger, such as wny’s “this whiny POS gets more pathetic and disgusting every day,” and chris_bdba’s “He is a liar. One can just look at the statistics from his own HHS and see the percentage on Food stamps has risen under his leadership.” Curiously, it also evokes homophobia, with Just mythoughts writing: “[l]ittle history here… the ‘pink mafia’ Foleyzied the ‘values’ voters and the liberals took control of Congress in 2006… so in a manner of speaking the ‘PROUD’ republicans gave us liberal demonrats…. society of survival of the fittest…. on ‘food stamps’. So will Mitt the pro-pervert officiate the Barney Frank-Ready rituals?”

But, certainly, there is also racism. Some of it is implicit. Reddy writes “Why doesn’t he just tattoo “Bush’s fault” to his ugly forehead?” to which max americana (whose tagline, awesomely, is “Buttcrack Obama is an idiot”) quips that “[i]t’s already tatoo’d on his big ears..”. And some of it is blatant. Astronaut writes that “Barry Soetoro is the perfect product of affirmative action. He didn’t deserve to get into Columbia and Harvard, but he was a Negro so he took a spot that a qualified candidate should have had. He got jobs and elective offices because of his race. He never worked for or earned anything; its all been handed to him because of white liberal guilt. Consequently, Barry can never take responsibility for what he’s done wrong. While liberals have taught him all his life that nothing is ever his fault. He’s not going to change now.” Then beaversmom, whose comment is a glorious contradiction (single-handedly proving my point), responds: “Exactly right. He’s a light skinned black that doesn’t have a black accent (unless he’s putting it on for the brothers). The racist white liberals ate him up. He made them feel good about themselves because he’s a “brother” they could support and pretend they are not as racist as they are.”

Conclusion

These comments come from two threads, but the examples can be multiplied. (Another good set.) To me they suggest that phrases like “welfare queen” and “food stamp president” do, certainly, operate as Chris believes — as appeals to a commonly felt belief that conservative ideas are the antidote to poverty and the other ills in liberalism’s product-line — but also engage a mishmash of other sentiments and attitudes, including racist ones. To be sure, this leaves open the possibility that what drives Newt to use these phrases is solely an innocent (almost endearing) belief in the truth and power of his cause. But, like the methodological presupposition at the root of Chris’s error, this too seems a supernaturally generous interpretation of what motivates a 20-year Republican Congressman from Georgia during a South Carolina presidential primary. So, while Chris is no doubt right that whatever young beltway conservative policy wonks he’s observed are too urbane to even think of despising the blacks [and, in a decade, will be too urbane to despise the gays], it is serious inside-the-beltway myopia to predicate that urbanity of either a seasoned Southern pol, or the conservative base.***

 ~~~

* Hey suppressed premises, didn’t see you there.

** No doubt TNC would say this comment is tinged with racism (given the ignominious history of sterilizing black women). I tend to agree. Chris, perhaps, thinks it is simply a joke, untethered from racial undercurrents. The disagreement, I think, turns on a difference in our priors about the extent to which ideology pervades consciousness.

*** As a Washington outsider, I presumptively have my finger more firmly planted on the American pulse than Chris does (:

Then Newt tickles the Southern g-spot, by saying that his debating Obama will be a battle between “knowledge” and a “TelePrompTer.” I don’t think Newt realizes how his contempt and condescension toward Obama is riddled with racism.

Ta-Nehisi Coates argues along similar lines:

The notion that Gingrich is somehow unaware of that “food stamp president” has racial connotations, that he is being on the level when he says the black community should not be satisfied with food stamps, requires an extension of supernatural generosity. 

While it would not be terribly surprising if Newt had some dog-whistle scheme in mind when he harps on these points, I think another explanation better fits the evidence without extending to the former Speaker “supernatural generosity.”

A trend I have increasingly observed, especially here in DC, is that partisans of all stripes routinely underestimate the extent to which their antagonists are familiar with their reasonings and explanations.  For instance, on economic matters, conservatives often speak as if their counterparts on the left have never encountered public choice economics or are unconcerned about inducing perverse incentives or unintended consequences.  Likewise, liberals like to justify their opinions by harping on the existence of inescapable market failures (see the health care debate, for instance), as if no one on the right advanced beyond introductory micro. 

Instead, I have noticed that the politically interested (or at least the modestly intelligent ones) tend to be quite familiar with the various contrary caveats their opponents have stockpiled and have complicated their respective worldviews sufficient to accomodate them.  However, partially out of limited co-mingling but mostly out of a inflated view of themselves, these partisans assume that others have not done the same.  This misapprehension fuels one of the most seductive and pervasive fantasies I have encountered amongst politicos: that they will debate someone with hardset opposing views and leave their interlocutor stupefied  by the novelty of their arguments (or, even better, baptize a new co-religionist on the spot).

Newt Gingrich, himself a rounded dallop of thoroughly Washingtonian hubris, is this delusion made manifest and he is running a campaign whose primary promise is to allow Republican voters to experience vicariously their collective debate fantasy on live television.   This is why all Gingrich ads emphasize that only he amongst the Republican candidates can beat Obama during the presidential debates.  In this context, his argument about knowledge vs. TelePrompter is not some deeply coded appeal to his audiences’ suspicions of black people.  It is instead a more explicit appeal to a commonly felt belief that the President would be left speechless in the face of the arguments of true conservatives.

The silliness about food stamps and paychecks and speaking to the NAACP runs along a similar logic.  My sense is that Newt and his ideological confreres do not presume that African-Americans and the indigent are dependent on the government out of congenital shiftlessness, but because they have never been exposed to arguments in favor of working for a living (or else why would they still be unemployed and/or Democrats).  Thus Newt apparently thinks he can travel down from on high to the NAACP and, like Moses from Mount Sinai, deliver the gospel on hard work and self-suffiency to the audience (all of whom, this being the freaking NAACP, well-employed at present) and win hordes of dumbfounded converts to the cause. 

These presumptions looms so large across everything Gingrich does* not because he thinks so little of the President or African-Americans or anyone else but because he thinks so much (and so often) of himself.

*For instance, C-SPAN today had a rousing speech by the former speaker from Cape Canaveral wherein he declared that the only thing standing between us and permanent lunar occupation is an exhorting declaration from future President Gingrich and the promise to make the Moon the 51st state if enough people move there.

Amphibian populations are declining in numbers worldwide.  Not coincidentally, the earth’s ozone layer has been continuously depleted throughout the last fifty years.  Atmospheric ozone blocks UV-B radiation, a type of ultraviolet radiation that is continuously produced by the sun, and which can damage genes.  Because amphibians lack hair, hide, or feathers to shield them, they are particularly vulnerable to UV-B radiation.  In addition, their gelatinous eggs lack the protection of leathery or hard shells.  Thus, the primary cause of the declining amphibian population is the depletion of the ozone layer.

Each of the following, if true, would strengthen the argument EXCEPT:

A) Of the various types of radiation blocked by atmospheric ozone, UV-B is the only type that can damage genes.

B) Amphibian populations are declining far more rapidly than are the populations of nonamphibian species whose tissues and eggs have more natural protection from UV-B.

C) Atmospheric ozone has been significantly depleted above all the areas of the world in which amphibian populations are declining.

D) The natural habitat of amphibians has not become smaller over the past century.

E) Amphibian populations have declined continuously for the past 50 years.

The LSAC answer and the one that Tai, amongst others, would affirm to be correct, beyond the jump.

The LSAC says the answer is A.

Leaving aside the correlation-equals-causation fallacy that the author employs, the clear correct answer is E).   A) is, at worst, neutral, to the strength of the argument; E) disconfirms it, albeit weakly.  If there is, as the author suggests, a constant dimunition of the ozone layer over the past 50 years, then you would expect a constant increase in the amount of UV-B radiation reaching the Earth’s surface.  Again leaning on the author’s logic, if you assume that UV-B radiation is harmful to the survival of amphibians, you would expect this constant increase of UV-B exposure would lead to a constant increase in the death rate of the amphibian population (assuming no selection takes place).  

However, answer E) does not measure the rate of death, but the overall population.  With a constantly increasing  death rate, one would expect the size of the population to diminish exponentially (integral of the death rate), rather than concomitantly with the shrinking of the ozone layer.  Thus, an observation like E) would serve to actively weaken the author’s argument and is the best answer for the question.

How . . . can we assure obedience among people who disagree with substantive ends that we favor and that have, somehow been at least partially embedded in the constitution?

Including within the constitution some of the trappings of liberalism may provide a solution to this problem. The feature of liberalism most useful in this regard is its uncanny ability (at least in our political culture) to persuade people of their duty to obey even when the politics of self interest and of moral responsibility fail. Viewed in one way, liberalism’s obfuscatory potential is precisely its problem. Supposedly expansive individual rights, supposedly free elections, a supposedly neutral playing field – all of these institutions serve to justify outcomes that should outrage us. On one view, then, outsiders should devote their energy to breaking down this ideology of legitimation.

The other view, though, is that this approach is either hopeless or foolish. It is hopeless because constitutional liberalism is too deeply engrained in our political culture to be displaced. It is foolish because any constitution, even my nonliberal one, will require a mechanism that convinces the populace to obey, and, given our present political culture, liberalism’s pretentions to being transubstantive provide such a mechanism.

It is important to understand just how limited and qualified this endorsement of constitutional liberalism is. First, I emphatically do not mean to endorse liberalism as a principled matter. My view is far removed from John Rawls’ position that liberalism is necessary for political justice in a diverse society. I do not even endorse the view that he rejects – that liberalism might provide a mere modus vivendi for divergent groups. Rather, my view is analogous to that entertained by some Catholics before Vatican II and before John Courtney Murray’s influential reinterpretation of Catholic doctrine for an American audience. Some pre-Vatican II Catholics treated religious toleration as a contingent good to be supported only when and to the extent that it advanced the interests of Catholics.  So, too, we might treat constitutional liberals as “useful idiots” who, at this particular moment in history, deserve our support because, but only to the extent that, they offer some protection to political outsiders and legitimation for good, nonliberal constitutional provisions.

His essay is short and correct in all of its particulars. Worth a read.

Hat tip.

Relatedly, Mitt Romney just lost the Iowa caucuses to Rick Santorum in a recount.

Well, I guess since there are no sidekicks and Sonic never speaks, it can truthfully be considered progress.